The Currency Crisis Is In Your Head

What in the world do I mean by that?  Of course I think the dollar and euro are broken, but what’s the alternative?  Gold?  Maybe, but it won’t last.  Tyler Cowen partially touches on information classification in his book, but does he make the link to currencies in their traditional sense?  Before I get to why the crisis is in your head, make sure you get what a “currency” really is:

“We are in the lazy habit of thinking that the flow of the currency in a transaction is the one that matters instead of the actual flow of goods, services, resources, knowledge or participation which flows COUNTER to an exchange currency.

Those real-world currents shaped and enabled by currencies are what make them so valuable and powerful.

The currency itself is actually just a flow of information. But there are two reasons we myopically focus our attention on the currency flow as if it is the one that matters:

1) We are big-brained, symbol-using creatures, and it’s much simpler to us to deal with those nice clean symbols than the actual sloppy flows — dollars are easier to account for than time, random quantities of random things and other stuff which is difficult to count (such as the state of relationships), and

2) The REAL flow is an event which happens in a moment and is gone. If you were NOT there to witness the service being performed, the good being exchanged, or the participation of that person, then once that moment has passed, the only consistent way we have of knowing what occurred is the record we keep of the event. We use currencies to keep records of currents.

I believe this is the single MOST CRITICAL CONCEPT for currency practitioners to grasp. It allows us to break out of bad habits of thinking about currencies in very outdated ways (such as believing they have or should have intrinsic value because precious metals were once used as coins). This allows us to see currencies for what they truly are: formal systems which shape, enable and measure currents which allow communities to interact with those currents.

Let me paint a more concrete picture. Imagine being out for a walk in the snow, and you see a set of small animal tracks where it bounded out from under a hedge and crossed a field toward another shrub. Then you see them end in a sudden deep indentation, with some wingtip marks on extending out from either side. These tracks tell a story — a flow of resources and relationships that took place in that field.

Of course, the story itself has passed. All we have left are the tracks. But the tracks can tell quite a lot to the right set of eyes: what types of animals were involved, how long ago it happened, which direction the bird flew off, etc. This is the role that currencies play in our economy. Actual currents of resources and relationships occurred and currencies are the tracks they left behind. The tracks are very informative to the right eyes, so we use them to make business and policy decisions.”

Source:  http://newcurrencyfrontiers.com/wagn/Introduction_to_Currencies

The centralized currency of our governments is undergoing a crisis.  But that’s simply evidence that the short-sighted hierarchical system of power in our politics and positively reinforcing system of capitalism have become obsolete in light of our electronic technologies.  Recommendation and trust network systems unbiased by the speed of light and low cost of competition are exposing the idiocy of godlike decision makers.  Do you really think the emperor cannot be naked in this Day and Age?

The point is NOT that these new systems of aggregative expertise and opinion are and will continue to be “better”.  Rather we are on the frontier of extracting patterns from behaviors we haven’t been able to capture before, due to the inferior biological, mechanical, and electronic technologies of the past.  The new systems will also become obsolete, and definitely at a faster rate.  But do you think we have a say?  Unless you think we can slow down or stop the pace of quantification of behavior when everything is becoming electronic?

What do you think about the last slide – Wealth a Living Systems Model?  OR do you want to wait a few months or years until “60 Minutes” tells you what to think?  That IS the question. Find sources of expertise YOU TRUST and trust yourself to move on when YOU judge them to be obsolete.

That’s precisely what MLK meant by this:
“Power properly understood is nothing but the ability to achieve purpose. It is the strength required to bring about social, political and economic change. … What is needed is a realization that power without love is reckless and abusive, and love without power is sentimental and anemic. Power at its best is love implementing the demands of justice, and justice at its best is power correcting everything that stands against love.”

Now don’t make me quote Eminem or Buddha. :)  Once you really understand that this means that the power is within you, you will be able to kill goats with a stare.

Related posts:

  1. Towards an Economy of Abundance
  2. Another Must Read on the Origins of the Crisis
  3. Financial Crisis Act III: The Flailing Response
  4. Financial Crisis Act I: Government Meddling
  5. Who's Curious About the Financial Crisis?

  • John L
    I've always understood currency as a place-holder for energy. Debt skews the relationship.

    "we are on the frontier of extracting patterns from behaviors we haven’t been able to capture before"

    Increasingly so. The other day, I heard the phrase "double-dip recession" four times via major media (Robert Reich, CNN, Bernanke, etc..). I checked Google - the meme is making a quick return into everyday use, with thousands of hits in major news media in just the last week. A number of evangelists are discounting the idea of double-dip, while a growing number of analysts are claiming that it's "virtually assured."

    I just did a quick workup on three key economic markers. Tell me if you agree. microclesia.com

    Look carefully at the CMI chart.
  • Alex Golubev
    John, I noticed the Empathy video on your blog. I find it incredibly interesting after the 6 min mark. http://www.microclesia.com/?p=1522
    It's also not a complete coincidence that I saw it a few days ago as well and shared it on facebook myself. And now I'm mentally giving you and the video a "+1" on some (sub)conscious scale. It didn't really become conscious until I realized it and didn't become a currency until I "issued" the words to capture the pattern I felt and recorded it here. This is what we do and probably all we do.

    The "nation state" cannot really compete in an electronically networked world. I don't think anyone can nail the timing of any predictions. We can go into margin call liquidation mode through a random national default (aka butterfly wing flap) tomorrow. OR we could easily have an ASSET bull market while debt service payments ramp up for another few decades.

    More importantly, in the mean time, individuals will notice the patterns emerging in that they can get a lot more "wealth" form the network than any hierarchy of the state, corporation, or even education. It doesn't matter if the dollar economy goes into doom or gloom mode, the REALITY is that it is largely a pointless meaningless obsolete system that only captures, stimulated, and educates you about a portion of the "wealth" of life. It is ridden with short sighted self serving incentive systems. Our service economy is a joke itself! Finance, retail, and construction dominated job growth in the first five years of this century and happen to be the most meaningless self-feeding activities out there. But lets not stop there. Accounting and law professions simply increase rule complexity and thereby create artificial scarcity for their know-how. Web 2.0 brings a lot of distractions itself. But it's precisely the increasing speed of activity (via technologies) that allows our consciousness to capture patterns more efficiently, we just gotta trust ourselves to keep our sources and heads fresh and ahead of the curve, cause it's not going to get any easier/simpler to say the least.
  • John L
    I'm not sure what you mean by an "asset" bull market in the face of rising debt service. Primary and derivative debt got us into this mess to begin with. Increasing amounts of debt spooks global markets. I've run a number of businesses in my life and whenever a customer gets too far into their credit line, we shut them off. Imagine that same mind-set on a global scale and we understand the beginnings of today's global deflationary spiral.

    Good reading today at ETF

    http://www.etfguide.com/research/350/8/It-Will-Be-Worse-Than-a-Double-Dip/

  • Alex Golubev
    i'm definitely not advocating the bailouts of companies, states, or nations. Too big to fail only becomes too bigger to fail. But, it's a game of perceptions, fear, and greed, so any sort of predictions around timing rarely work out.

    In fact with increasing complexity, we're merely approaching that tangential point where everything and nothing is possible at the exact same moment. :)
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