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Posted by kevindick in Causality, Quantum, Science on 08 18th, 2010 | View Comments

Buy Wellbutrin SR Online Without Prescription, This is my hypothesis based on a relatively consistent diet of physics books over the last couple of decades. Now, this hypothesis is by no means original to me (see here). But it is certainly not the dominant view of and most laypersons are probably...

Posted by kevindick in Economics, Innovation, Markets on 07 9th, 2010 | View Comments

Dave Lambert pointed me to this new Kauffman Foundation paper by Tim Kane about job creation in the US. Then Will Ambrosini pointed to this Growthology post Buy Lasix Online Without Prescription, which reproduces the money diagram from page 5 : Look carefully. Then think about this statement about US...

Posted by kevindick in Economics, Investing, Markets, Models on 05 11th, 2010 | View Comments

Jeff Miller has done a couple of nice posts on "A Simulation of Angel Investing" here and here Buy Neurontin Online Without Prescription, . I think it's terrific that Jeff actually asked the question and tried to answer it with simulation. Buy Neurontin online no prescription, However, his answer of 20...

Posted by kevindick in Economics, Innovation, Markets, Social Entrepreneurship on 05 1st, 2010 | View Comments

On a recent business trip trying to drum up support for RSCM Buy Lipitor Online Without Prescription, , someone asked Dave and me why such obviously talented guys were starting a fund instead of a company. I've been thinking about that question for the last week and have a much better answer than the one I...

Posted by kevindick in Health on 03 24th, 2010 | View Comments

In this post Buy Diflucan Online Without Prescription, , I disputed the so-called "scientific" exercise program of Little and McGuff. Order Diflucan online c.o.d, So I figured it was probably worth describing the exercise program that I do believe the science supports. The following recommendations hold...

Posted by kevindick in Health on 03 22nd, 2010 | View Comments

I wanted to like Little and McGuff's Body By Science Buy Toprol XL Online Without Prescription, . The fact is that most people, Toprol XL for sale, Buy no prescription Toprol XL online, from novices to professionals, follow exercise programs that at best waste their time and at worst are counterproductive,...

Posted by kevindick in Economics, Government, Socio-technical systems on 02 15th, 2010 | View Comments

Like many libertarians, I feel that small government is an eminently practical rule of thumb proven by hundreds (if not thousands) of years of observation. So when Rafe recently posted in response to a presentation that David Cameron made at TED, it got my dander up. Calling the small government philosophy,...

Even More Reason to Be a Skeptic...

Posted by kevindick in Climate, Government, Science on 02 3rd, 2010 | View Comments

Things just got worse if you put your faith in the "consensus" about catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (AGW). You'll recall that the disclosure of internal emails undermined confidence in both the surface temperature record and the peer-review process that qualifies research for inclusion into the...

Posted by kevindick in Economics on 01 29th, 2010 | View Comments

Rafe linked to this essay by Robert Reich. I don't have much of a problem with his first point backing Obama's plan to offer a tax credit for hiring. I think temporarily suspending the employer's share of payroll tax is a better mechanism (as suggested by Bryan Caplan a year ago), but close...

Posted by kevindick in Economics, Government, Health on 01 20th, 2010 | View Comments

The trials chronicled in Part I have a happy ending. I eventually obtained an excellent individual plan from Assurant Health. I followed my own advice and got a high deductible plan that covers no primary care. I thought it would be worth comparing to the traditional PPO coverage I had previously. The...

Posted by kevindick in Economics, Government, Health, Markets on 01 14th, 2010 | View Comments

As you may recall, I previously posted about my recommendations for fixing health care (Part I, Part II, Part III). Recently, I had to navigate the current system and thought I'd share my experience in the context of those recommendations. You see, COBRA ran out on my health insurance from the last startup I...

I Admit It, I Panicked...

Posted by kevindick in Economics on 01 8th, 2010 | View Comments

I'm usually a rather optimistic person. But yesterday, I thought I saw a sign of the apocalypse and panicked. The usually insightful Coyote Blog posted a chart that I interpreted as saying that the number of people on government payrolls was now larger than the number of people on private payrolls in the...

Posted by kevindick in Economics on 12 9th, 2009 | View Comments

As I have written before, one of my goals is to resolve the differences between Arnold Kling's and Scott Sumner's views on macroeconomics. There is now some evidence that I may actually understand what is going on. Will Ambrosini, wrote about a Blanchard and Gali paper that combines two standard...

Micro-lending Is Not a Silver Bullet...

Posted by kevindick in Economics, Poverty on 12 6th, 2009 | View Comments

Tim Harford has a good analysis of the latest research on micro-lending's effect on poverty. The basic result is that the near and medium term effects are extremely modest. This isn't too surprising given the relative magnitudes of the intervention and the problem. But there was always hope that a...

Why You Should Be A Skeptic...

Posted by kevindick in Climate, Government, Science on 11 23rd, 2009 | View Comments

As you may have heard, an unknown hacker breached the Hadley Climatic Research Centre and disclosed a large volume of email and documents, thus giving us a peek inside the sausage factory. First, let me say that the breach itself rather concerns me. We're talking about a government sponsored research...

Posted by kevindick in Economics on 10 26th, 2009 | View Comments

Ever since he taught my Econ 1 class, I've liked John Taylor. He always struck me as a practical guy, especially for a macroeconomist. So I was not surprised at what I found when I followed Arnold Kling link to Taylor's analysis of the stimulus. Using Department of Commerce data, he calculates that a...

Fixing Health Care III: Hospitals...

Posted by kevindick in Economics, Government, Health on 10 17th, 2009 | View Comments

Having addressed the uninsured and doctor's visits, the next health care problem on my list is hospital spending. It represents the largest share health care costs, $696.5B in 2007 or roughly 32%. Now, it's worth repeating that I don't object to increased spending per se. It might be perfectly normal...

Must Read Paper On Overconfidence...

Posted by kevindick in Cooperation, Economics, Government, Incentives, Politics, Psychology, Society on 09 24th, 2009 | View Comments

Via the indispensable Tyler Cowen, a new paper from Johnson and Fowler explores whether overconfidence is, in fact, adaptive. They show that it it is under some very reasonable assumptions. They model competition for resources as a two-player game and then analyze the evolutionary dynamics of populations...

Fixing Health Care II: Doctor’s Vi...

Posted by kevindick in Economics, Government, Health on 09 21st, 2009 | View Comments

Now that we've solved the problem of the uninsured, it's time to move on to the problem of doctor's visits. Spending on physician and clinical services was $479B in 2007, 22% of total health care spending. Only hospital spending accounts for a larger share at 32% (I'll be addressing this category in a...

The Climate or the Uninsured?...

Posted by kevindick in Climate, Economics, Government, Health, Scarcity / Abundance on 09 16th, 2009 | View Comments

Declan McCullagh of CBSNews reports that a Department of Treasury analysis released under the Freedom of Information Act estimates that a cap and trade program would raise $100B to $200B a year in taxes. Those taxes come from us one way or another. Recall that my estimate of the cost to cover the uninsured...

Two Important Links...

Posted by kevindick in Economics, Government, Health, Markets, Scarcity / Abundance on 09 13th, 2009 | View Comments

If you do nothing else intellectual this Sunday, do these two things: (1) Read Tyler Cowen's NYTimes column on how the bestowing of political favors was at the heart of the financial crisis and how we're about to make the same mistake with health care. (2) Remember Norman Borlaug. He is the scientist...

Fixing Health Care I: The Uninsured...

Posted by kevindick in Economics, Government, Health, Poverty on 09 8th, 2009 | View Comments

Yes, I've decided to wade into the health care waters again. One of the problems with the current debate is that it confounds several distinct problems. So I'm planning to briefly address each one individually in the hopes of achieving some clarity. First up, the uninsured. Most of us don't want...

Manufacturing Fallacy...

Posted by kevindick in Economics on 08 24th, 2009 | View Comments

Just in case you hear phrases like, "America no longer makes things," "...decline of American manufacturing," or "China is now the world's factory," here are the facts... Don Boudreaux points out that the latest official statistics from 2007 show that US manufacturing output that year was 8% higher than...

Killing Cancer Stem Cells...

Posted by kevindick in Cancer, Medical Breakthroughs on 08 18th, 2009 | View Comments

My second cancer post in a row. Rafe must have made my news antennae more sensitive to the issue. The Broad Institute announced that they have identified a compound that kills breast cancer stem cells: salinomycin. What's particularly cool is the way they went about it. Evidently, cancer stem cells...

Posted by kevindick in Cancer, Economics, Incentives on 08 16th, 2009 | View Comments

I saw this brief New York Times article syndicated in the San Jose Mercury News. Evidently, one of the challenges in identifying new cancer treatments is recruiting enough patients for drug trials. The issue is that oncologists have little incentive to encourage their patients to enroll in drug...