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Three Worldmapper Thoughts

As most of you probably know, Worldmapper had dozens of charts that scale country size to various statistics.  Here are three maps I haven't seen in other blogs, but found interesting and would love to hear what people think about the reasons and implications (and of course how communist/wrong/idealistic I...

Peanut Butter and “Culture Jamming” Sandwich

Rick Bookstaber, author of “A Demon of Our Own Design” and Senior Policy Adviser at the SEC has hit the nail on the head as far as the bank reform goes – Breaking the Banks (via Infectious Greed): “It is not the case that the largest banks are the same as other banks, just bigger“ “The...

Balance the past with Zeitgeist

Please watch the Zeitgeist Addendum, and RIP: Remix Manifesto Kafka gave us The Metamorphosis.  We have the power to realize our own humility.  Being wrong is irrelevant if you learn from your mistakes and prevent systemic risk from such errors.  How can we be so content with our wisdom if we...

Truthocracy – Part I – Reducing Collusion

-"Democracy is the worst form of government, except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time." Churchill (from a House of Commons speech on Nov. 11, 1947)  I've been meaning to do a post on the Bayesian Truth Serum (Prelec), but Tyler Cowen’s post on Range Voting has inspired...

Investing in Superstars

Imagine you are in your early twenties, out of college several years and your best friend, who recently came into an inheritance of $300K cash told you they could think of no better way to invest the money than to invest it in you.  Not the company you started, not as a loan, but invest it in YOU, as if you...

Must Read Paper On Overconfidence

Via the indispensable Tyler Cowen, a new paper from Johnson and Fowler explores whether overconfidence is, in fact, adaptive. They show that it it is under some very reasonable assumptions.  They model competition for resources as a two-player game and then analyze the evolutionary dynamics of populations...

The Limitations & Dangers of Incentives

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rrkrvAUbU9Y[/youtube] If you liked this, check out these posts: Behavioral Economics with Dan Ariely Management 2.0 Executive Compensation World's Most Ambitious Crowdsource My Favorite TED Talks of TED...

Incentive Problem in Cancer Drug Trials

I saw this brief New York Times article syndicated in the San Jose Mercury News.  Evidently, one of the challenges in identifying new cancer treatments is recruiting enough patients for drug trials.  The issue is that oncologists have little incentive to encourage their patients to enroll in drug...

Health Care Parallels Education

I was listening today to a Fresh Air interview from a couple of weeks ago on the reasons for the high cost of health care: [audio:http://public.npr.org/anon.npr-mp3/npr/fa/2009/07/20090727_fa_01.mp3] Highly informative and thought provoking. One thing that struck me was the discussion about how we...

Name That Financial Debacle!

The following quotes are from a book describing a real set of events: [The incident] is an extraordinary example of what happens when you get... a dozen people with an average IQ of 160... working in a field in which they collectively have 250 years of experience... employing a ton of leverage. It's hard...

The Evolution of Bad Ideas

It is by now common wisdom that our current financial crisis is due in large part to misplaced incentives in our financial system. Analysts and fund managers were rewarded for short-term thinking and risk-taking. If we can rework our financial system to reward long-term, careful planning, it is often...

Should We Tax Poor Nutrition?

I just tweeted on a subject that I suspected would cause a stir, and so it has, I'm moving it here: RafeFurst: I strongly support a soda tax! RT @mobilediner: check it out:  a Soda Tax? http://amplify.com/u/dvl coelhobruno: @RafeFurst what about diet soda? Would it be exempt? RafeFurst: @coelhobruno no...

Centmail: Fighting Spam With E-Mail Postage Stamps

Who wants to pay for email? You just might. Many people have suggested that adding a nominal cost to e-mail would serve to fight spam by rendering it largely unprofitable. With Centmail, some Yahoo researchers propose adding a penny postage stamp to each e-mail, representing a penny donation to charity....

Paying Women to Not Get Pregnant

What's fascinating to me about this is not that it works so well and or that there might actually be support in the Obama administration for doing it on a national scale, but rather that there has not been a backlash against it yet.  What are the odds that something like this will actually get implemented?...

World’s Most Ambitious Crowdsource

Everyone has heard about the Large Hadron Collider, arguably the most ambitious and complex engineering project ever undertaken, anywhere.  The purpose, no less ambitious, is to answer all sorts of burning questions about the nature of the universe, including whether the Standard Model of particle physics...

Don't Eat That Marshmallow!

Short but brilliant TED talk by Joachim de Posada.  I love the economic point he makes at the...

Game Theory and Military Planning

In "Game Theory: Can a Round of Poker Solve Afghanistan's Problems?" Major Richard J.H. Gash creates a simple two player game to show how game theory can be used to influence military planning. Gash's game involves two villages in Afghanistan with the choice to either support the "Coalition" or support the...

Best Reader Comment Award

I'm giving my "2009 Q1 award for most concise, lucid comment" to Paul Phillips for this gem: Viewed from a thousand miles, the financial system has a incalculably large incentive to fail catastrophically as frequently as it can do so without killing the goose that lays the golden eggs. As long as there is...

The Good, The Bad & The Ugly

A few articles on the economy that were sent my way recently. The Good: After Capitalism (Geoff Mulgan) "The era of transition that we are entering will be disruptive—but it may bring a world where markets are servants, not masters."  I urge you to read this entire article, and leave your ideological...

Leveraging Taxes for Civil Engagement

Dan Ariely had an interesting idea on NPR's Marketplace today.  Here's the audio of the segment.  The idea is to get tax payers thinking about how their tax dollars should be spent, thus getting them more civilly engaged.  His research and that of others suggests that such activity would reduce the...

Is the Party Over?

I don't like the Republican or Libertarian parties. But I'm also no fan of the Democratic party. In fact, I dislike all political parties and think they should be done away with.  And while I'm not naive enough to think that this will happen, it makes me glad to see that the "post partisan" utopia is...

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