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The Process

Imagine a multiverse, infinitely infinite.  There's just infinity.  Or if you prefer, nothing.   There's no space, no time, no matter, no energy.  There's no structure whatsoever, and nothing "in" any of the universes that make up the multiverse.  it's not even clear whether these individual universes...

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Synthesis of Complexity Theory

As careful readers of this blog will note, I've been obsessed with Alex Ryan's visualization of the way new levels of organization come into being (e.g. atoms --> molecules --> cells, etc).  In an attempt to complement and extend his model, here's a visualization of how I think of the various concepts...

Balance the past with Zeitgeist

Please watch the Zeitgeist Addendum, and RIP: Remix Manifesto Kafka gave us The Metamorphosis.  We have the power to realize our own humility.  Being wrong is irrelevant if you learn from your mistakes and prevent systemic risk from such errors.  How can we be so content with our wisdom if we...

Turning Japanese, iThink…

What do you know about Japan and their economy?  Their nominal GDP and stock market seem to be "losing" relative to other countries, but upon further examination you will find that the real GDP/capita has been quite reasonable throughout the period.  but what's money got to do with it?  Success doesn't...

Convergence

As readers of my blog posts know, I talk a lot about evolutionary systems, the formal structure of cooperation, the role of both in emergence of new levels of complexity, and I sometimes use cellular automata to make points about all these things and the reification of useful models (here's a summary of how...

Comments on Human Cultural Transformation

This is a followup to Ben's post on Human Cultural Transformation Triggered by Dense Populations.  Too many links for this to be accepted into the comments directly... In thinking about these questions, it helps me to remind myself of the difference between evolution and emergence. Evolution happens...

Human Cultural Transformation Triggered by Dense Populations

Biologically,modern humans first appeared 160,000 to 200,000 years ago. But the transition to complex human societies, with art, music, advanced tools, occurred a good deal more recently, and moreover, occured at different times in different parts of the world. An article in June's Science magazine (see a...

Is Money an Emergent Phenomenon?

The two economists that have most informed my view of the current macroeconomy are Arnold Kling and Scott Sumner. In both cases, their models and explanations make sense to me.  They use solid reasoning and evidence; I don't feel I'm getting a lot of hand waving. Unfortunately, at first glance, their views...

Answer to "Guess What Species?"

Yesterday's puzzler was to guess the species being talked about here: One became super efficient at gobbling up its food, doing so at a rate that was about a hundred times faster than the other. The other was slower at acquiring food, but produced about three times more progeny per generation. The answer...

Is the Party Over?

I don't like the Republican or Libertarian parties. But I'm also no fan of the Democratic party. In fact, I dislike all political parties and think they should be done away with.  And while I'm not naive enough to think that this will happen, it makes me glad to see that the "post partisan" utopia is...

The Vanguard of Science: Bonnie Bassler

The import of this talk goes way beyond the specific and stunning work that Bassler and her team have done on quorum sensing.  In my mind, this is the prototype for good biological...

What is the Best Idea Ever?

Daniel Dennett and others have called Darwin's theory of evolution the best idea anyone has ever had.  That means that all the ideas that Socrates, Da Vinci, Newton and Einstein ever had, plus all the ideas that everyone else has ever had are also rans.  It would be impossible to really justify such a...

Micro –> Macro –> Micro, etc.

Kevin has a few threads regarding the effect that micro behaviors have when aggregated to macro behaviors: Society According to Kevin I May Have Been Wrong About Macroeconomics But I Was Probably Right About Climate Models It occurred to me as I was reading this Huffington Post article that there is a...

Emergence 101

[I just noticed the video links were broken in my original post, so I'm reposting this] Apparently this PBS NOVA program aired last year, but somehow I missed it.  Definitely worth watching (and looking at the examples), especially if you are mystified by all of this "emergence mumbo jumbo": Part...

Going Meta on "Autonomy"

Continuation of: Focusing on "Autonomy" I've been trying to reconcile Rafe's an my views on this topic.  I actually think we agree on the broad themes related to our argument over "autonomy".  From my perspective, it seems like the only real disagreement is on the implications for humans. As a higher...

Focusing on "Autonomy"

Continuation of: Superfoo Rafe and I had a great chat on the phone today about Superfoos.  I think we agreed that there will be multiple instances of agents emerging in the level immediately above humans but there is always a single top-level network in local space.  I think we also agreed that the...

Superfoo

Response to Superorganism as Terminology. I was actually about to post something about terminology, so I'm glad this came up. It's just so difficult to choose words to describe concepts that have little precedent, without going to the extreme of overloading on the one end (e.g. "organism") or the other...

Response to "Superorganism Considered Harmful"

This is a response to Kevin's post responding to my post. Rafe makes an analogy to cells within a multicellular organism. How does this support the assertion that there will only be one superorganism and that we will need to subjugate our needs to its own?  Obviously, there are many multicellular organisms....

The Emergent Universe

In a previous post I asked what you thought this was: Here is the same system at different resolutions (lowest to highest): Yes, it's the structure of the universe once you add in various different kinds of information, including cosmic background radiation, dark matter, etc.  The last image...

The Conflict Between Complex Systems and Reductionism

The following is a recent paper by Henry Heng published in JAMA.  I've linked concepts mentioned in the paper to corresponding explications from this blog. JAMA. 2008;300(13):1580-1581. The Conflict Between Complex Systems and Reductionism Henry H. Q. Heng, PhD Author Affiliations: Center for...

Singularity Summit: How Will We Get There?

Now that I've had a week to digest what I saw at the summit, I have some thoughts on the most likely path we'll take to the singularity. From an absolute perspective, this path isn't very likely because there are a lot of different ways to get there (or not get there). But given what I've seen so far, I...

Singularity Summit: Thoughts on AGI

As most of you know, one of the commonly proposed paths to The Singularity is the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI). As you can read in my rundown of the Singularity Summit, speakers showcased a lot of progress in hardware substrate and software infrastructure, but no significant...

Go Forth and Reify, part II

In this video talk by Richard Darkins he gives some good food for thought on reification when he talks about Steve Grand's views on things like whirlpools, electromagnetic fluctuations and walking sand dunes.  The most powerful example is this one (quoting Grand): Think of an experience from your childhood....

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